Queried about his Cooperstown credentials during the Cardinals' visit to Citi Field last month, Wainwright grinned while seemingly acknowledging his counting numbers he has 184 wins and 2,004. He was the first pitcher aged 39 or older since Mike Mussina in 2008 to throw at least 200 innings with an ERA+ of 125 or better. Adam Wainwright Stats. He has a $217 million contract with the Boston Red Sox, and to make the Hall of Fame, he may need another Cy Young award and a dominant performance in a World Series championship. Carlos Correa, Shortstop(32.7 Career WAR | 32.7 7-Year Peak WAR | 32.7 JAWS, +6.7 JAWS) Between some favorable changes to his DRS totals and an AL-leading 5.9 WAR (surpassed by Ohtani's two-way total of 7.7), the 26-year-old Correa has boosted his JAWS more than any position player. No ones winning 300 games again, probably, Maybe there will be a couple guys that have a chance Claytons got a chance, Max maybe. Injury? Ill assume that FanGraphss weirdly defensive stance against Wainwrights pursuit of bulletin board material has subsided by then. It is possible that he ends up as one of those players who hangs around the ballot for his decade of eligibility, getting a boost because of his time in St. Loius, but the only way he ends up in Cooperstown will be with a ticket. By what Ill provisionally call R(eliever)-JAWS, hes climbed from 22nd all-time to 15th, which is still well below the standard for the eight enshrined relievers (29.7). To be clear, Adam Wainwright will certainly make it onto the Baseball Hall of Fame ballot, and based on the ease with which even seemingly fringe candidates are able to garner them, will probably get some votes. Is Adam Wainwright in the Hall of Fame? Sep 14, 2022; St. Louis, Missouri, USA; St. Louis Cardinals starting pitcher Adam Wainwright (50) pitches against the Milwaukee Brewers during the fifth inning at Busch Stadium. The wins, strikeouts, ERA and innings were his best since 2014, which appeared to be the last full year of his peak. This is a question that has been frequently raised throughout the season as the Cardinals' 'Big Three' (Pujols, Wainwright, Molina) were constantly praised by St. Louis fans. Ive lost track. Still, hes won 230 games, led the league in wins twice, and won a Cy Young award and a World Series ring. Flaherty insists hes feeling great this spring. 122-66, 3.24 ERA, 1,621 strikeouts, 123 adjusted ERA. Its available on your preferred podcast platform. Adam Wainwright K's McCormick. DRS changes, injuries, and the shortened season have dealt the slugging third basemans case a set of blows in recent years, making it even harder to overcome his late start. Follow him on Twitter @jay_jaffe and Mastodon @jay_jaffe. While best known for his voice as the lead sports columnist at the Post-Dispatch for 26 years, Bernie has also written for The Athletic, Dallas Morning News and Baltimore News American. Privacy Policy He threw two no-hitters in the same season and tied the major league record with 20 strikeouts in a nine-inning game. Max Scherzer, already on the Cooperstown fast track before he was traded by the Nationals to the Dodgers at the trade deadline, continued his march towards inner-circle status by authoring a dominant post-acquisition stretch for his new team (7-0 with a 1.98 in 11 starts for the Dodgers, who won each of his outings) on par with Doyle Alexander in 1987, Randy Johnson in 1998 and CC Sabathia in 2008. 2020 has given us many. Perhaps (I would argue this is more likely) a new narrative arc would emergeWainwright, say, grits through physical pain to guide the Cardinals to the 2022 World Series and enters a level of folklore which allows voters to look optimistically upon his borderline statistical case (see: Ortiz, David). He went 119-66 with a 2.96 ERA from 2007-15, a span in which only Kershaw had a lower ERA among pitchers with at least 1,000 innings pitched. Enter your email below and we'll send you another email. Information from The Associated Press was used in this report. (And hes been getting his work in, at least for the most part.) For starters, no pitcher can stay that good for that long. Replacing those lost or disrupted seasons with three average Wainwright seasons a 13-7 mark with 138 strikeouts over 164 innings would have Wainwright at 223-126 with 2,418 strikeouts. Hernandez also holds the distinction of having been the last MLB pitcher to throw a perfect game (2012). I found . On Saturday, June 11, 25,000 fans, ages 16 and older, will take home one of their replica . Covering the latest and most controversial news around the world of sports, heavily centered on the Philadelphia Eagles and National Football League. It airs Monday through Thursday from 3-6 p.m. and Friday from 4-6 p.m. You can listen by streaming online or by downloading the show podcast at 590thefan.com or the 590 app. 141-80, 3.23 ERA, 1,547 strikeouts, 124 adjusted ERA. Flaherty is calm. The greatest lineups ever? At 41-years-old, Adam Wainwright's statistics suggest no signs of slowing down. Wainwright, however, has a much more finite timetablehe has announced that he is retiring. He went from having a 3.8 WAR in 2021 to 2.8 WAR last year. By either that mark or traditional reliever JAWS, the 33-year-old Kimbrel is the biggest gainer this year. The only active pitchers behind Wainwright (2,375 2/3) in the 2,000-inning club are 36-year-old David Price (2,103 1/3), 35-year-old Johnny Cueto (2,034 1/3) and 32-year-old Madison Bumgarner (2,034). Adam Wainwright (44.0 career | 35.5 Peak | 39.8 JAWS, +2.1 JAWS). But Adam Wainwrights story also isnt complete. Please contact us. Wainwright had won nine of 10 decisions coming in. Your email address will not be published. Wainwright was between 38 and 40 years old in this stretch. Flaherty pitched 348 innings over the 2018 and 2019 seasons. Focusing on what hes better at: Scherzer is just 19 strikeouts away from 3,000 and should reach the milestone this month, surpassing the likes of Juan Marichal, Roy Halladay, and Bob Feller on the JAWS leaderboard. His sinker averaged 84.9 mph, a 3.7 percent decrease from 2022. No Cy's (albeit 4 top 3 finishes). This may not seem particularly grandiose, and probably not even close to Cooperstown worthiness, but it should be noted that with sixty-five elected, starting pitcher is far and away the most commonly enshrined position in the Hall (it has also, pre-bullpen expansion, been the most common position, so this shouldnt be too surprising). Adam WainWright's MLB stats are Win-loss record 195-115, Earned run average 3.35 and Strikeouts 2,142. The oldest and wisest twin. St. Louis Cardinals pitcher Adam Wainwright's Hall of Fame chances could be dampened by circumstances out of his control. 132-72, 3.34 ERA, 2,005 strikeouts, 124 adjusted ERA. Fantasy baseball: Which prospects have fantasy value in 2023? All stats used here were sourced from FanGraphs, Baseball Reference, Stathead, Bill James Online, Fielding Bible, Baseball Prospectus, Baseball Savant, Brooks Baseball Net and Spotrac. However, the future Cardinals Hall of Famer is coming off a 2022 season in which he lost velocity, suffered a decline in swing . Greinke was dominant for the 2009 Kansas City Royals, winning the league ERA crown (2.16) and leading the AL in WHIP (1.073), and even better for the 2015 Los Angeles Dodgers, posting a ridiculous 1.66 ERA and at one point throwing 43.2 consecutive scoreless innings over six starts. Of course, Wainwright and the Cardinals gave it the nothing to see here treatment. Adam Wainwright will return for his 19th season with the. (Beltran) was frozen on an 0-2 Adam Wainwright curveball with the bases loaded in the bottom of the 9th. You may have created an account with another Rogers Media account that can be used to sign in here. Look at that. Chapman notched his 300th save on August 26, but hes had an unimpressive season, walking 16.2% of hitters en route to a 3.68 ERA and 4.16, all career worsts. 3rd stage: Well, his arm hasnt rebounded the way we were hoping for, so were just going to shut him down and see how he responds. Let's take a look at Flaherty. While a Cy Young Award does not guarantee entry, it certainly helps. Both legends are heading off into the sunset, their final stop before they end up in Cooperstown in just a few short years. But its just not going to happen anymore the way pitchers are used now and the way free agency is and (how) careers go. Heres what Bowden wrote: Mozeliak was cautious in his comments and reminded me that the right-hander threw only 36 innings last year. Interestingly enough, he missed the entire 2011 season for the world champion St. Louis Cardinals, but he did play an integral role as a closer in the 2006 playoffs, throwing 9.2 scoreless innings in the playoffs. Unless Adam Wainwright continues to play for a few more seasons and perform at an elite level, the Hall of Fame may elude him, though he will certainly find his name on the voting ballot when eligible. This is a veteran, and he knows what he needs to do. Adam Wainwright. Reports on Wednesday, October 26th, say that Wainwright will return to the Cardinals for his 19th MLB season with the club, as he continues to chase his 200th career win. Even though three different physical problems were cited to explain Wainwrights plummeting velocity and ineffective pitching? But even if we throw 2020 out, Flaherty averaged only 57 innings of work over the last two years. It's not the be-all end-all but his baseball reference kind of shows that he really shouldn't make it. What a career Adam Wainwright and Yadier Molina have shared together! Sabathia has a chance to become the 17th pitcher in history to record 3,000 strikeouts, which would give his candidacy a boost. How much more does Wainwright need to do to make the Hall of Fame in your eyes? The Hall of Stats was built by Adam Darowski, Jeffrey Chupp, and Michael Berkowitz.Follow the Hall of Stats on Twitter or Facebook.The Hall of Stats is open sourced on GitHub.All data is also open and available as a free download. Hey, at least the Cardinals added a proven, quality big-league starting pitcher this past offseason. He has put together a solid career, posting a 193-114 record with a 3.34 ERA and a 1.208 WHiP over his 2538.2 innings . Theyll defer. Twenty-eight are enshrined in Cooperstown everyone except Wainwright and his fellow active hurlers Scherzer, Justin Verlander and Clayton Kershaw, the latter trio of whom are expected to glide in Cooperstown, as well as Roger Clemens, Tommy John, Luis Tiant, Jerry Koosman, Rick Reuschel, Kevin Brown and Vida Blue. Adam Wainwright, is probably not a Hall of Famer and his 36.7 JAWS likely shouldn't be used as the new . Justin Verlander has pulled off one of the rare accomplishments for a pitcher winning a league MVP award. Im not sure its a good idea for Wainwright to proceed with his WBC plans, but the Cardinals wont stop him from going. Listen to the Seeing Red podcast on the Cardinals, featuring Will Leitch and Miklasz. I like that its a round number, but I assure you that this is merely a coincidence. Sales efficiency numbers are superb he has a 2.99 career ERA, a 1.054 WHIP, a 4.96 K:BB ratio, and hes working on five straight All-Star trips. He was the MVP of the 2014 World Series after two dominant starts and then five scoreless innings off the bench in Game 7, and hes been a key contributor to three championship teams. No Gavin Lux -- big problem. No one should expect to make money from the picks and predictions discussed on this website. What a different story we could be telling about 'Waino' had he stayed in Atlanta. . He'll retire with honors and accolades, becoming a fine coach and St. Louis area legend. . It hasnt moved him very far in the JAWS rankings, but hes nonetheless seventh among active pitchers behind Greinke, the injured Justin Verlander (60.8), Kershaw, Scherzer, and two other pitchers whove effectively taken zeroes in 2020 and 21, Cole Hamels (48.4) and Flix Hernndez (44.3). Are there baseball seasons good enough to get Adam Wainwright past Dwight Gooden? Your email address will not be published. That may be what landed him on the disabled list with shoulder inflammation this year. Despite dealing with shoulder soreness and some rough stretches, Greinke the active leader in JAWS has pitched an AL-high 159.2 innings, though he will probably get overtaken after landing on the COVID-19 IL on Tuesday. Strasburgs 2.86 FIP suggests hes outperformed his 3.18 ERA, and his strikeout rate has been stellar. He just turned 30 on August 7, and hes already fifth in JAWS and third in peak among center fielders, but this has been largely a lost year due to a right calf strain thats already required the longest recovery time in at least six years. The two-time NL Cy Young winner began his season by reeling off one of the most amazing runs of any pitcher in recent memory, posting an 0.50 ERA and 0.87 FIP through his first 12 starts. The bad news is that hell finish his age-35 season still short of 1,200 hits (hes at 1,156), meaning that hed have to average at least 160 a total he hasnt reached since 2016 through his age-40 season just to reach the all-important 2,000. May need surgery, but were not close to making any kind of decision on that. A Hall of Fame-bound pitcher is slated to take the mound in the top of the first inning of tonights NL wild card game. That being said, the question I had is what a retirement for Adam Wainwright . Wainwright attributed the late 2022 freefall to a hitch in his delivery after hed been struck on the knee by a batted ball. There are some people that feel Wainwright will join his legendary teammates in Cooperstown at some point in time, a trio of Hall of Famers all departing the Cardinals at the same time. Adam Wainwright in 2021 His lifetime ERA is 3.35 and has dropped nearly a tenth of a point over the last two seasons. As if on schedule, we have our first spring-training round of Is Anything Wrong? with the pitcher. He'll retire with honors and accolades, becoming a fine coach and St. Louis area legend. On one hand, its spring training and a lot of pitchers get pounded early in exhibition games as they prepare for the run-up to the regular season. The 40-year . His cutter was next, dropping from his 2022 average of 84.3 mph to 80.8 mph, and his curveball decreased from 72.9 mph to 70.2 mph.. Strasburg hasnt been a disappointment, but he also hasnt lit the world on fire. Dont hold your breath. Adam Wainwright biography. Sabermetrics lover. An error has occurred while trying to update your details. But Wainwright proved his solid 2020 wasnt a brief mirage. Your favorite teams, topics, and players all on your favorite mobile devices. That seems to be a pretty good baseline.. The key number regarding Gooden is 48.0, which is the average of his career bWAR, his bWAR7, his career fWAR, and his fWAR7. But over the last three seasons, Jack has pitched only 154 innings. DUNEDIN., Fla. Toronto Blue Jays first baseman Vladimir Guerrero Jr. left the spring training game against Tampa Bay with right knee discomfort. He founded the Futility Infielder website (2001), was a columnist for Baseball Prospectus (2005-2012) and a contributing writer for Sports Illustrated (2012-2018). This year, however, the biggest stars of Opening Day will be three players in Cardinals jerseys who all have legitimate shots of someday being in baseball's Hall of Fame themselves. (Photo by Harry How/Getty Images) Adam Wainwright was one of many players lucky enough to have shared a clubhouse with Scott Rolen, the newest member of the Baseball Hall of Fame.. 1st stage: All good. But theres a rhythm to the ritual. Still, Hernandez has quite a resume over the last decade hes been named to six All-Star teams, won 156 games for a perennially-losing franchise that hasnt sniffed the postseason, and hes won a Cy Young award to go with multiple ERA titles. The Cardinals and starting pitching and injuries. His velocity has dropped again, though Wainwright did push it up a little in his second start. The Cardinals looked like one of the best teams in the National League throughout the 2022 regular season, finishing with a record of 93-69, winning the NL Central Division in the process. Laurie Skrivan, St, Louis Post-Dispatch Here's a look at some other top Cardinals not in the Hall of Fame. Not an injury issue? Astros @ Cardinals. Theres a good chance no pitcher will again crack the 300-win plateau, a mark that has been achieved 24 times throughout the sports history. By Hybrid JAWS, Adam Wainwright is, currently, the 118th greatest starting pitcher in Major League Baseball history. Gibson got his 2,000th strikeout when Pittsburgh's Roberto Clemente was called out on July 13, 1969. Greinke has won an ERA title in each league. Nelson Cruz, right field (42.2 career | 30.1 Peak | 36.1 JAWS, +1.3 JAWS). Always ranking QBs. (Photo by Justin Berl/Getty Images), Wainwright strongly hinted he would retire alongside longtime batterymate Yadier Molina following next season. His 2.2 WAR, meanwhile, edged him closer to the career standard (73.3). Actually, it's two starting pitchers: Jack Flaherty and Adam Wainwright. But, while neither was young, per se, by baseball standards (it was deGroms age-30 season and Scherzers age-33), there is a big leap to get to Adam Wainwrights age-40 season which looms ahead. Adam Wainwright is going to have such an interesting Hall of Fame case once he retires. deGrom has already racked up significant value even while qualifying for the ERA title only five times in eight seasons. Paul Goldschmidt, first base (49.1 career | 40.6 Peak | 44.9 JAWS, +2.2 JAWS). Ad Choices Wins may not matter as much these days, but his 195 wins would make him just the seventh player to be inducted as a starting pitcher with fewer than 200 victories. Yadier Molina is arguably one of the best defensive catchers in the history of baseball. That's an average of 174 innings per year. What's the Dodgers' plan at shortstop? Injuries have me dubious that Chris Sale will ever accumulate the WAR necessary to reach the Cooperstown threshold, but hes only barely going to be 33 come Opening Day, so Im not closing the book just yet. Yadier Molinas career FanGraphs WAR shot up 18.4 wins in one day, The 2022 St. Louis Cardinals and the next generational passage St. Louis Bullpen. Alas, just before the All-Star break, the 33-year-old southpaw landed on the injured list due to inflammation in his left forearm and hasnt even gotten to the point of a rehab stint yet after suffering a setback in late July. Hes undergone Tommy John surgery, and his career total of 76 wins is underwhelming. He surpassed 200 wins in 2019 (hes at 219 now), but with his strikeout rate dipping from 24.5% last year to 17.0% this year, hes still 201 strikeouts away from 3,000 and will probably need two seasons to reach the milestone instead of one. It's a career that includes 10 All-Star Games, nine Gold Gloves, four Platinum Gloves, two World Series titles and plenty of adulation from the St. Louis area and beyond. Jacob deGrom and Max Scherzer just had seasons that good in 2018. Todays pitcher will make it more for efficiency. And while deGromcontinued to blast 100-mph fastball after 100-mph fastball past hitterseven while missing turns here and there due to what were believed (by the Mets, at least) to be minor and disconnected injuries, he finally landed on the IL in early July with forearm inflammation. Queried about his Cooperstown credentials during the Cardinals visit to Citi Field last month, Wainwright grinned while seemingly acknowledging his counting numbers he has 184 wins and 2,004 strikeouts are not going to measure up to most of the starting pitchers enshrined in Cooperstown. It goes something like this . With eight All-Star selections, three Cy Young awards, and a World Series ring, Kershaw is probably a lock for election already, but reaching and surpassing some major career milestones would further elevate him in the pantheon. Its early in spring training. Hes also climbed from 12th to ninth in saves (372) and should easily move past Joe Nathan (377) and Dennis Eckersley (390) within the next year. St. Louis Cardinals news fromFanSided Daily, Former San Francisco Giants third baseman Pablo Sandoval heading to LBPRC, Aroldis Chapmans time with New York Yankees comes to inglorious end, Wild Card wrap-up: Mets, Cardinals regular-season paper tigers, Opening Odds for MLB Division Series (Every Team's Odds to Win the ALDS, NLCS), St. Louis Cardinals: Oli Marmol's perfect quote about Wild Card Game 2, Phillies-Cardinals: Bryce Harper wants just 1 thing from Yadier Molina, Decision points: The key moments from Friday's MLB Wild Card games. St. Louis Cardinals pitcher Adam Wainwright joins Scott Braun, Erik Kratz, Todd Frazier, and AJ Pierzynski to talk about his final season and the legacy he's. Albert Pujols and Yadier Molina played their final game in the majors, a disappointing 2-0 loss to eliminate them from the Wild Card round. Wainwright went 41-28 with a 4.58 ERA (an ERA+ of 90, or 10 percent below league average) from 2016 through 2019. I suppose well get an update after Wainwright returns to camp after competing for Team USA in the World Baseball Classic. When he calls it a career, Wainwright won't be a serious contender for baseball's Hall of Fame, unlike Molina. After slaying the October beast that had haunted him for so many years, Kershaw pitched reasonably well through the first three months of the season, posting a 3.39 ERA and 2.98 FIP the latter his lowest mark since 2016 in 106.1 innings. Even if he is able to reach the 200 win threshold, will Wainwright find himself enshrined in the Baseball Hall of Fame? In fairness, the Cardinals are correct in their initial thinking. Chris Sale keeps getting better with age, and with the way hes ben mowing down hitters in a 2017 free agent year, hes going to earn a lucrative $200 million deal in the offseason. Now, Adam Wainwright at any age, while once one of the best pitchers in the sport, never put a season quite that good. SUMMARY 2022 Career WAR 1.8 46.7 W 11 195 L 12 117 ERA 3.71 3.38 G 32 457 GS He had one brother, Trey, who was seven years his senior. No harm. Still, his 2.60 ERA is his lowest since 2017, and his strikeout rate is a solid 29.8%. He has similar numbers (albeit slightly worse) than Roy Halladay. The three Cy Young Awards should be enough to get him into the Hall of Fame. The just-turned-40-year-old is currently in the midst of a late-career renaissance (2.97 ERA, 3.1 WAR), leaving many to wonder what might have been if not for the injuries that effectively cost him three seasons from ages 29 to 36. We use cookies to improve your experience. Adam Wainwright is one of the more curious pitchers in baseball, and a recent thread raised a couple questions to me. Cardinals' Wainwright reaches 2,000 career K's. The 2022 campaign was supposed to be the last for Adam Wainwright as well, although he has left the door slightly open for a return next year. Perhaps a new metric will be devised that paints Wainwright in an extraordinary new lightI cant really imagine what said metric would be, but Yadier Molinas career FanGraphs WAR shot up 18.4 wins in one day on which meaningful baseball games werent even played, so I am not going to dismiss the possibility hastily. Hes endured shoulder miseries and a strained oblique. 4th stage: The latest MRI showed something that was a little off, and we think its smart to do more tests and let him go get a second opinion. Adam Wainwright's age is 41. He entered Thursday 16-7 on. It's an ex-Chip's Worldand we're just picking up the pieces. Leg and glute stiffness that limited his leg drive, the aftereffect of recent back spasms, and a torn finger blister. The 2022 campaign was supposed to be the last for Adam Wainwright as well, although he has left the door slightly open for a return next year. In his final inning, Wainwright didnt touch higher than 85 mph. Though hes overcome health scares and worked hard to expand his arsenal to become less reliant upon his cutter, Jansen has continued to take Dodgers fans on a rollercoaster this season. Godspeed, Waino. After posting a 3.84 expected ERA in 2022, that metric jumped to 4.53 last season. Those skills may eventually result in a spot in the Hall of Fame. Decade-plus Eagles writer. Arizona Diamondbacks. All betting content is intended for an audience ages 21+. While Drew was a fine player throughout his career, he would only spend the 2004 season with the Braves. Your login session has expired. Yadier Molina, though certainly less overwhelming of a candidate than Pujols, is probably going to make it inparticularly with the modern embrace of pitch framing, Molinas defensive reputation has only improved, and his high longevity and peak scores by FanGraphs Wins Above Replacement (which, unlike Baseball Reference, incorporates framing), are well within the normal catcher standards for Cooperstown, even if the rank-and-file voter bestows his candidacy with fewer goat emojis and general fawning than St. Louis does.