The team debates if Americans really do move to Canada, or to different U.S. states, for political reasons. The team looks at the popularity of the Democrats' COVID relief plan and how both Democrats and Republicans are thinking about its provisions. Bot Love was created by Diego Senior.
How The Federal Reserve Is The Shadow Branch Of The Government We speak with the director of the Monmouth University Polling Institute, Patrick Murray, who wrote an article titled I blew it.
fivethirtyeight podcast transcripts Maybe its time to get rid of election polls. The crew discusses the Senate passage of the Inflation Reduction Act, new polling on how Americans think about crime and gun violence, and how state-level debates over abortion bans are playing out.
The Gerrymandering Project - FiveThirtyEight As we head into the new year and our attention begins to turn to the presidential primaries, we decided to reair our audio documentary series, The Primaries Project. It originally aired at the beginning of 2020 and across three episodes we looked at how our presidential primary system came to be, its consequences and how it could be different. The Deluxe version of our model simulates the election 40,000 times to see which party wins the House most often. This sample of 100 outcomes gives you an idea of the range of scenarios the model considers possible. In Matthew Continetti's new book, The Right: The Hundred Year War For American Conservatism, he argues that in order to understand where the right is heading, you have to understand where it's been. They also break down what that means for future cases and what it means for the legitimacy of the court overall. And what does Floridas new voting law tell us about the GOPs efforts to change the way Americans vote, and the partys larger motivations? The crew discusses the races to watch in Tuesday night's primaries in Pennsylvania, North Carolina, Idaho, Oregon and Kentucky. . They also check in on where the redistricting process stands around the country and ask what the two parties should be thankful for this Thanksgiving. fivethirtyeight podcast transcripts. The crew looks at the issues that have shaped the Virginia and New Jersey gubernatorial races and rounds up some of the other local races and ballot measures around the country. They also scrutinize a new survey that suggests most Americans think "The West Wing" and other political TV shows are reflective of how politics works. Since Jacksons confirmation is the expected outcome, the hearings similar to past ones were more about politics. They also try to get to the bottom of whether Americans support the Parental Rights In Education Bill -- or what its critics call the Dont Say Gay Bill -- which Florida Governor Ron DeSantis signed into law last week. As we head into the new year and our attention begins to turn to the presidential primaries, we decided to reair our audio documentary series, The Primaries Project. Politics Podcast: Why The Federal Reserve's Power Is 'Limitless', Politics Podcast: How The War In Ukraine Could Go Nuclear, Politics Podcast: Some Republicans Are Souring On Aid To Ukraine. They play a game of "Guess What Americans Think," in which the panelists have to guess Americans' opinions on a wide variety of topics, including Elon Musk, inflation and Britney Spears. They also reflect on how British and American politics changed during the period when "Brexit" and "Trump" dominated the two countries news cycles and consider their lasting impact. The crew previews Tuesday's primaries in Georgia as well as contests in Arkansas, Alabama, Texas and Minnesota. The Gabfest, featuring Emily Bazelon, John Dickerson, and David Plotz, is the kind of informal and irreverent discussion Washington journalists have Each week, host Jody Avirgan brings you stories and interviews about how data is changing our lives. The team also looks at how debates about "Critical Race Theory" entered the culture wars, particularly in schools and state legislatures. Micah Cohen and Kaleigh Rogers also join to talk about why Republicans are not backing a bipartisan commission to investigate the January 6th attack on the U.S. Capitol. Transcripts by Erin Wade. What do we know about the novel coronavirus, and what do we know we don't know? Ron DeSantis are the only candidates who currently have sizable support in national polls. Science reporter Maggie Koerth also joins to talk about shifting attitudes on climate change among Republicans. The crew discusses how the other nine Republicans are faring in their bids to win reelection and debate whether CNNs new polling methodology is a good or bad use of polling.
Podcast Transcription Generator- Transcribe Online | Type Studio 1 min read; Jun 05, 2022; Bagikan : parade of homes matterport . Hello and welcome to the identity politics podcast I'm deal injury work. If you don't already have iTunes, you can download it here. The crew discusses the arguments Biden laid out and where he stands with American voters two years into his presidency. Then, Equis Research co-founder Carlos Odio joins the pod to break down a new poll that asked Latino Americans which party they are favoring in the midterm elections. Kyrsten Sinema's Odds Of Reelection Don't Look Great. They also ask whether we should be skeptical of polls showing Democrats performing well in parts of the Midwest where polls have repeatedly underestimated Republicans. 0:00:00 And they try to guess what Americans think about love and relationships in a Valentine's Day-themed game. The crew runs down a list of theories in a game of Buy, Sell, or Hold to discuss what evidence, if any, supports some of these arguments. To mark a year since Russias full-scale invasion of Ukraine, Galen Druke brings back two experts who first joined the podcast when the war began. Hours before we freeze the FiveThirtyEight midterm forecast tonight, it shows that Republicans are in a dead heat for the Senate and are favored to win the House. The crew discusses what legal debates are currently playing out, what the decision could mean for the future of Roe v. Wade, and where Americans stand on abortion restrictions in general. In the immediate aftermath of the Jan. 6th attack on the U.S. Capitol, it appeared that Republican leaders might be ready to break ties with then-President Trump once and for all. police- settlements. They consider how much preelection polling can tell us about the state of the country and what other sources we might rely on. 71 Episodes Share Follow Seasons About 38 minutes | Feb 16, 2023 The Hero Who Rode His Segway Off a Cliff Steve Jobs called It "the most amazing piece of technology since the PC." According to Jeff Bezos It was not only "revolutionary," but infinitely commercial. Its a bold suggestion, and in this installment of the podcast we interrogate it. They also introduce a new FiveThirtyEight collaboration with Ipsos aimed at polling Americans about the issues they care most about in the run up to the midterms. In 2018, the operations were transferred from ESPN to sister property ABC News (also under parent The Walt Disney Company ). Tickets to the FiveThirtyEight Politics podcast live show in Washington, DC on October 25th can be found here. The Supreme Court is probably the most recognizable example, but its not the only one. By doing so we are missing another important divide, one that may actually run counter to the idea that America is hopelessly conflicted between red and blue. These articles reported facts without employing biased word choice, slant, or other types of media bias . FiveThirtyEight Politics 199 Episodes Share Follow Episodes About 61 minutes | Feb 27, 2023 How The War In Ukraine Could Go Nuclear To mark a year since Russia's full-scale invasion of Ukraine, Galen Druke brings back two experts who first joined the podcast when the war began. FiveThirtyEight Politics 295 views 25 Feb 2021 Transcribe your podcast [00:00:06] Hello and welcome to the 538 Politics podcast. The crew discusses what's in the "Freedom to Vote: John R. Lewis Act" and why Senate Democrats have taken it up despite unmoving opposition. As Congress considers legislation that would decriminalize marijuana and end the sentencing disparity for crack and cocaine offenses, Galen Druke speaks with FiveThirtyEight contributor Lester Black about what Americans think should be done about drugs and how politicians are responding. Lastly, they ask whether a recent survey of Americans attitudes about secession is a good or bad use of polling. The crew discusses why the Republican National Committee chose to censure Representatives Cheney and Kinzinger and how different parts of the party view the violent events of January 6th, 2021. FiveThirtyEight Politics News Latest Transcripts How To Make Polls Better 240 views about 2 years ago 01:12:44 Galen Druke speaks with two A+ rated pollsters, J. Ann Selzer and Patrick Murray, about how they view the challenges of polling and what can be done about them. The cofounders of Equis Research -- a political data firm focused on Latino voters -- share their research on why that swing happened. In the first "Model Talk" episode of the 2022 midterms cycle, Nate Silver and Galen Druke discuss the factors behind that forecast. The crew discusses Manchins rationale and where Democrats might go from here.
Google Podcasts - FiveThirtyEight Politic We assess the state of American democracy, based on a new survey from Bright Line Watch, a group of political scientists that monitors threats to our democratic systems. Reporter Greg Bluestein explains how it happened in his new book, Flipped: How Georgia Turned Purple and Broke the Monopoly on Republican Power, and discusses with Galen what it means for 2022 and beyond. The crew discusses the politically thorny issue of mental acuity in an increasingly elderly U.S. government, and what Americans think about age limits for public office. 9 days ago. The crew discusses what comes next in Democrats' attempt to pass election reforms, after their proposals hit roadblocks in the Senate. They also debate the meaning of a recent poll from Axios that suggests Americans are exhausted.
How COVID-19 Affected Tuesday's Vote l FiveThirtyEight Politics Podcast As the House Select Committee for Jan. 6 publishes its final report, the crew considers what the committee's impact has been on American politics and former President Donald Trump's standing with voters.
Cautionary Tales with Tim Harford on Stitcher 01:06 PM. Tester faces a tough bid, but don't sleep on Brown being the weaker of the two. They also address a listener question that suggests Republicans achieve their policy goals more often than Democrats. PODCAST-19 brings you the latest evidence on the COVID-19 pandemic. Nevada Democrats introduced a bill on Monday that would change their state's presidential nominating contest from a caucus to a primary and also dislodge New Hampshire from its position as the first primary in the nation. Thirty-six governors seats are up for election this fall and the crew looks at some where full control of state government might be decided by the governors race. A lack of those relationships can actually have an impact on political behavior and interest in extreme ideologies. Galen and Nate discuss the reasons for Republicans' improvement in the forecast. While it appears unlikely that 17 Republicans will join Democrats in voting to convict the former president, the evidence presented could help shape the views of the public regarding what happened at the Capitol on January 6, 2021. Then the team debates if a surge of women registering to vote in June could be linked to the Supreme Courts recent abortion decision. robert kraft granddaughter. Upload your Podcast as an audio or video file to Type Studio in our menu. American government is designed to have components that are not directly accountable to the public. Commentators and politicos have given lots of hot takes on why Democrats did so poorly in Tuesday's election and what it portends for the 2022 midterms. The U.S. shot down at least three unidentified flying objects over the weekend. March 1, 2023 6:30am by Barry Ritholtz. With two new hosts, Anjali and Prateek, the second season of The Big Story will feature longer and well-rounded discussions with experts across science, culture, technology, politics, and more. The crew discusses how the scandals surrounding Walker have evolved over the course of his Senate campaign and how the latest could affect the outcome of the race. gold rush supreme second chance winners. In this late night edition of the podcast, the crew discusses the results of the California gubernatorial recall election. The crew discusses the races to watch in 2023.
fivethirtyeight podcast transcripts FiveThirtyEight - Media Bias/Fact Check The crew discusses what Cuomo's political future might hold and how New Yorkers are reacting to sexual harassment allegations. Its October and the surprises are rolling in. They also have a good or bad use of polling on the topic of death and consider whether a recent Facebook hearing will lead to new regulations for the monolithic technology company. Finally, they analyze why Bidens approval rating has increased by nearly five points since late July.
fivethirtyeight podcast transcripts It was his first big national speech since the midterms and a preview of his likely 2024 reelection bid. They also take a look at whether the Republican Party is conducting a post-mortem after its recent electoral losses. Democrats overperformed in two special elections on Tuesday, including a win in New York's 19th district, which is four points more Republican than the national partisan lean, according to FiveThirtyEights metric. Tickets to the FiveThirtyEight Politics podcast live show in Washington, DC on October 25th can be found here. They also debate whether the AARP is correct in assessing that women voters over the age of 50 are likely to decide the outcome of the 2022 midterms. This week Nikki Haley became the first major candidate to challenge former President Donald Trump in the 2024 Republican presidential primary. Transcript for What if America had a lot more political parties? The crew debates the value of polling whether Americans want Biden and Trump to run again in 2024. Nate Silver and the FiveThirtyEight team cover the latest in politics, tracking the issues and game-changers every week.
fivethirtyeight podcast transcripts - masrurratib.com Galen Druke talks to Nicole Hemmer about her new book, "Partisans: The Conservative Revolutionaries Who Remade American Politics in the 1990s.". They also discuss the politics of reparations after a Democratic proposal in the House to study reparations for slavery was voted out of committee for the first time since it was introduced in Congress in 1989.
Politics Podcast - FiveThirtyEight House Minority Leader Rep. Kevin McCarthy (R-CA) and U.S. President Donald Trump attend a signing ceremony for H.R. It helps our wrinkle, which helps other discover the shop or just tell them on about this series, we'll be . The crew debates which states should vote first in the presidential primaries if the Iowa caucuses were to go away. The crew tries to unpack whats driving Democrats legislative decisions and who will have to compromise to pass the party's agenda. New episodes release Tuesdays, Thursdays, and Sundays. FiveThirtyEight Politics ABC News (US) Nate Silver and the FiveThirtyEight team cover the latest in politics, tracking the issues and "game-changers" every week. New York City-based political reporters Gloria Pazmino and Erin Durkin discuss the current lay of the land in the Democratic mayoral primary and the issues that are motivating voters with less than a month until the election.
FT Podcasts | Financial Times The crew debates whether the Democratic Party really is actually in disarray as it struggles to pass legislation and faces a difficult midterm year, or if its hurdles are usual for any party in power. The crew discusses which states will determine the balance of both chambers and what theyve learned from this election so far. From host Jody Avirgan (30 for 30, FiveThirtyEight, Radiotopia) and the TED Audio Collective, Good Sport is your guide through an array of stadiums, pitches, pools and slopes that shed a light on the ups and downs of being human. They also discuss the conditions that would have to be present in order for a third party to actually be viable in the American political system. The FBI released nationwide crime numbers from 2020 this week that will likely contribute to the already tense political debate over crime and policing.
Glastonbury's new town manager to make $190,000 Tia Mitchell, of the Atlanta Journal Constitution, joins the podcast to discuss what to expect from former President Trump's second impeachment trial.
FiveThirtyEight Politics podcast Max Fisher, author of the new book, "The Chaos Machine: The Inside Story of How Social Media Rewired Our Minds and Our World," speaks with Galen about the impacts of social media on politics globally and in the U.S. Tickets to the FiveThirtyEight Politics podcast live show in Washington, DC on October 25th can be found here. From 2008 to 2019, the percentage of people who said they got their news from local papers fell by more than half. Were still waiting to find out what the deal is, but this focus on slow moving objects in U.S. airspace was kicked off by a Chinese spy balloon that the U.S. shot down earlier this month. Accuracy is not guaranteed. More Information Location: United States Genres: News & Politics Podcasts Politics News Networks: ABC News (US) Description: This is the final FiveThirtyEight Politics podcast episode of the Trump presidency. Transcript: Ezra Klein Interviews Ta-Nehisi Coates and Nikole Hannah-Jones July 30, 2021 Every Tuesday and Friday, Ezra Klein invites you into a conversation about something that matters, like. Local news is disappearing across the country. In the 2020 election cycle, Georgia found itself at the center of the American political universe. MANAGER'S SALARY. The crew discusses what high gas prices have meant for politics historically and outline the debates in Washington over how to bring those prices down. NEW TOWN . In this installment, the crew plays a game of midterm trivia and analyzes the press coverage surrounding the latest decline in life expectancy. FiveThirtyEight Politics on Apple Podcasts 200 episodes FiveThirtyEight Politics ABC News News 4.5 19.2K Ratings FEB 21, 2023 What We Know About Kyrsten Sinema's Odds Of Reelection What We Know About Kyrsten Sinema's Odds Of Reelection It's a busy week! A message from Martine. Its generally considered to be one of the most comprehensive pictures of trends within the electorate. The crew discusses how Liz Cheney and Madison Cawthorn's primaries serve as a test of what the Republican Party and its voters will and wont accept. What role do Liz Cheney-type Republicans have to play in the future of the GOP (if any)? The crew discusses the results of the primary elections in Georgia, Texas, Alabama, Arkansas and Minnesota. The State Of The Polls, 2016. In this installment of "Model Talk," Nate and Galen discuss a recently published assessment of how our 2022 midterm forecast performed. All rights reserved. The crew puts Georgia's new voting laws in context and discusses the challenges facing the Biden administration on immigration policy in the short and long term. Tyler's intense research leads to stimulating and surprising . The crew debates whether a recent Gallup poll showing that more Americans identify with the GOP than the Democratic Party is a "good or bad use of polling." Galen Druke and Amelia Thomson-DeVeaux discuss the messages that Senators sent and whether we were able to glean anything about what kind of Justice Jackson would be. RSS Loading. Please subscribe to the Dow-ballot on Apple Podcasts and leave . Pew Research has released its verified voter survey, looking at how different groups within the electorate voted in 2020. The crew discusses the role partisanship has played in Americans' assessment of risk and their behavior during the pandemic.
FiveThirtyEight Politics (podcast) - FiveThirtyEight, 538, ABC News 3 min read. James Acton is a physicist and co-director of the Nuclear Policy Program at the Carnegie Endowment for International Peace. Tensions between the U.S. and China have grown in recent years and, in this installment, the crew looks at changing public opinion of China and how it could shape American politics. The conventional wisdom is that if former President Trump wants the Republican presidential nomination in 2024, it's his. Why 10 Republicans Voted For Impeachment 300 views about 2 years ago 34:52 In this late-night installment of the FiveThirtyEight Politics podcast, Nate Silver and Galen Druke put their Model Talk hats on and discuss the initial results from the 2022 midterms. In this show, Jody Avirgan, Nicole Hemmer and Kellie Carter Jackson (and guests) take one moment, big or small, from that day in U.S. political history and explore how it might inform our present -- all in about fifteen minutes. They also assess whether narratives from the 2021 gubernatorial election in Virginia hold up in light of new data, and debate the hottest legislative topic in Washington: permanent Daylight Saving Time. Perry Bacon Jr. speaks with Galen Druke about his recent reporting on the kinds of ideas that have gained currency on the Left and how the Right has responded. 01:00 PM. They also analyze a new poll from the University of New Hampshire that shows the states likely GOP primary voters favoring Florida Gov.
Transcript: Ezra Klein Interviews Ta-Nehisi Coates and Nikole Hannah In this installment of Model Talk on the FiveThirtyEight Politics podcast, Nate Silver and Galen Druke are joined by two climate modelers and authors of the latest IPCC report, Friederike Otto and Baylor Fox-Kemper. The crew talks about where Americans stand on mitigation efforts, how politicians are responding, and what public health experts are saying about the current state of the pandemic. The book is the first big reported account of the 2020 campaign in its entirety and is written by Jonathan Allen, senior political analyst with NBC News, and Amie Parnes, senior correspondent for The Hill. They also consider whether a new poll showing that America's reputation has rebounded abroad is a good or bad use of polling. The crew discusses what we've learned from President Biden's first 100 days in office and from his first address to a joint session of Congress. The report relies on advanced climate modeling to illustrate where global warming is headed. They also look at mayoral elections, which are taking place in more than two dozen major cities, and special elections for a handful of vacant House seats.